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Selected peer-reviewed international publications

  • Rotmans, J., Boois, H. de, and Swart, R.J. (1990), 'An integrated model for the assessment of the greenhouse effect: the Dutch approach', Climatic Change 16, no.3, 331‑356, 1990.
  • Rotmans, J., Swart, R.J., and Vrieze, O.J. (1990), 'The role of the CH4‑CO‑OH cycle in the greenhouse problem', Science of the Total Environment 94, no.3, 233‑252, 1990.
  • Rotmans, J., and Swart, R.J., 'The gloomy greenhouse: should the world phase out fossil fuels?', Environmental Management 14, no.3, 291‑296.
  • Rotmans, J. and Vrieze, O.J. (1990), 'Metamodelling and experimental design: case study of the greenhouse effect', European Journal of Operations Research 47, 317‑329.
  • Swart, R.J., Boois, H. de, and Rotmans, J. (1990), 'Targeting climate change', International Environmental Affairs, A Journal for Research and Policy 1, no.3, 222‑234.
  • Den Elzen, M.G.J., and Rotmans, J. (1992), 'A scenario study on the socio‑economic consequences of a sea level rise for the Netherlands', Climatic Change 20, no. 3, 169‑195.
  • Rotmans, J. and Swart (1991), 'Modelling tropical deforestation and its consequences for global climate', Ecological Modelling 58, 217‑248.
  • Kleijnen, J.P.C., Rotmans, J. and Van Ham, G. (1992), 'Techniques for sensitivity analysis of simulation models: a case study of the greenhouse effect', Simulation, Vol. 58, no. 6., 410‑417.
  • Rotmans, J. and Den Elzen, M.G.J. (1992), 'A Model‑Based Approach to the Calculation of Global Warming Potentials', The International Journal of Climatology, vol. 12, 865‑874.
  • Den Elzen, M.G.J., Swart, R.J. and Rotmans, J. (1992), 'Strengthening the Montreal Protocol: does it cool down the greenhouse?', The Science of the Total Environment 113, 229‑250.
  • Rotmans, J., Swart, R.J. and Den Elzen, M.G.J. (1992), 'Stabilizing atmospheric concentrations: Towards international methane control', AMBIO vol. 21, no. 6, September 1992.
  • Den Elzen, M.G.J., Janssen, M.A., Rotmans, J., Swart, R.J. and De Vries, H.J.M. (1992), 'Allocating the remaining global carbon budget based on international and intergenerational equity throughout a sustainable world', the International Journal of Global Energy Issues vol. 4, no. 4, 287‑302.
  • Rotmans, J. (1992), 'ESCAPE: an integrated climate model for the EC', CHANGE 11, October 1992, 1-4.
  • Den Elzen, M.G.J. and Rotmans, J. (1993), 'Modelling feedback processes in the carbon cycle: balancing the carbon budget', Tellus 45B, 301-320.
  • Den Elzen, M.G.J. and Rotmans, J. (1993), 'Modelling climate related feedback processes', the Journal of Environmental Science and Health A28, no. 9, 2095-2153.
  • Braddock, R., Filar, J., Rotmans, J. and Den Elzen, M.G.J. (1994), 'The IMAGE greenhouse model as a mathematical system', Applied Mathematical Modelling18, 234-254, May 1994.
  • Rotmans, J., Hulme, M. and Downing, T. (1994), 'Climate change implications for Europe: an application of the ESCAPE model', Global Environmental Change 4, no. 2, 97-124.
  • Martens, W.J.M., Niessen, L.W., Rotmans, J., Jetten, T.H. and McMichael, A.J. (1995), 'Potential impact of global climate change on malaria risk', Environmental Health Perspectives, 103, no. 5, 458-464, May 1995.
  • Janssen, M.A. and Rotmans, J. (1995), 'Allocation of fossil CO2-emission rights quantifying cultural perspectives', Ecological Economics 13, 65-79, 1995.
  • Janssen, M.A., Rotmans, J. and Vrieze, O.J. (1995), 'Climate change: optimization of response strategies', International Transactions in Operations Research 2, no. 1, 1-15.
  • Kwadijk, J. and Rotmans, J. (1995), 'The impact of climate change on the river rhine: a scenario study', Climatic Change 30, 397-425, August 1995.
  • Martens, W.J.M., Jetten, T.H., Rotmans, J. and Niessen, L.W. (1995), 'Climate change and vector-borne diseases: a global modelling perspective', Global Environmental Change 5, no. 3, 195-209, September 1995.
  • Martens, W.J.M., Rotmans, J. and Vrieze, O.J. (1995), 'Global atmospheric change and human health: more than merely adding up the risks', World Resource Review 7, no. 3, 404-416.
  • Asselt, M.B.A. van and Rotmans, J. (1995), Science and Public Policy 22, no. 6, 414-415.
  • Weyant, (convening lead author), J., Davidson, O., Dowlatabadi, H., Edmonds, J., Grubb, M., Richels, R., Rotmans, J., Shukla, P. and Tol, R. (principal lead authors), Cline, W. and Frankhauser, S. (lead authors) (1996), ‘Integrated Assessment of Climate Change: an Overview and Comparison of Approaches and Results’, In the Economic and Social Dimensions of Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K.
  • Asselt, M.B.A. van and Rotmans, J. (1996), 'Uncertainty in perspective', Global Environmental Change 6, no. 2, 121-157,
  • Rotmans, J. and Asselt, M.B.A. van (1996), 'Integrated assessment: a growing child on its way to maturity', Climatic Change 34, 327-336.
  • Rotmans, J., Beusen, A.W.H., Elzen, M.G.J. den, Hilderink, H.B.M., Hoekstra, A.Y., Niesen, L.W., Strengers, B.J., de Vries, H.J.M. (1996), ‘The integrated assessment model for global change: TARGETS’, In: Integrated Assessment of Global Change: Science & Policy, R.S. Chen, D. Tuttle, and C. Linville (eds.), Springer Verlag, Berlin.
  • Den Elzen, M.G.J., Beusen, A. and Rotmans, J. (1997), 'Modelling the global carbon and nitrogen cycle and their interactions: an integrated modelling approach', Global Biogeochemical Cycles 11, no. 2, 191-215.
  • Jaeger, C.C., Barker, T., Edenhofer, O., Faucheux, S., Hourcade, J-C, Kasemir, B., O'Connor, M., Parry, M., Peters, I., Ravetz, J., and Rotmans, J. (1997), 'Procedural leadership in Climate Policy: a European task', Global Environmental Change 7, no. 3, 195-203, November 1997.
  • Rotmans, J., and Dowlatabadi, H. (1998), 'Integrated assessment of climate change: evaluation of models and other methods', in Rayner, S. and Malone, E.(eds.), Human choice and climate change: an international social science assessment, Batelle Press, USA.
  • Rotmans, J. (1998), ‘Global change and sustainable development: towards an integrated conceptual model’, 421-449, In: Schellnhuber, H.J. and Wenzel, V. (eds.), ‘Earth Systems Analysis: integrating science for sustainability’, Springer Verlag, Berlin, Germany.
  • Rotmans, J. (1998), ‘Methods for Integrated Assessment: the challenges and opportunities ahead’, Environmental Modelling and Assessment, Vol. 3, no. 2, 155-179.
  • Jager, W., van Asselt, M.B.A., Rotmans, J. and Vlek, C.A.J. (1999), ‘Consumer behaviour, a modeling perspective in the context of integrated assessment of global change’, In: Sustainability in Question: the search for a conceptual framework, Kohn, J., Gowdy, J., and Hinterberger, F. (eds.), 229-247, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, U.K.
  • Rotmans, J. and van Asselt, M.B.A. (1999), ‘Perspectives on a sustainable future’, International Journal for Sustainable Development, Vol. 2 no. 2, 201-230.
  • Rotmans, J., van Asselt, M.B.A., and Vellinga, P. (2000), ‘An Integrated Framework for Sustainable Cities’, Environmental Impact Assessment Review 20, 265-276, Special Issue on 'Assessment Methods for Urban Planning'.
  • Rotmans, J. and van Asselt, M.B.A. (2000), ‘Towards an Integrated Approach for Sustainable City Planning’, Journal on Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis 9, 110-124, Special Issue on 'Decision-Support in the Public Sector'.
  • Rotmans, J., Anastasi, C., van Asselt, M.B.A., Greeuw, S., Mellors, J., Peters, S., Rothman, D. (2000), ‘VISIONS for a Sustainable Europe’, Futures 32, 809-831.
  • Rotmans, J. and van Asselt, M.B.A. (2001), ‘Uncertainty Management in Integrated Assessment Modelling: towards a pluralistic approach', Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, Vol. 69, no.2, 101-130, June 2001.
  • Rotmans, J., Kemp, R. and van Asselt, M.B.A. (2001), ‘More evolution than revolution: transition management in public policy’, Foresight 3, no. 1, 15-32, April 2001.
  • Van der Veen, A. and Rotmans, J. (2001), ‘Dutch perspectives on Agents, Regions and Land Use Change’, Environmental Modeling and Assessment Vol. 6, no.2, 83-86.
  • Notten, P. van and Rotmans, J. (2001), ‘The Future of Scenarios’, Scenario & Strategic Planning, Vol.3, no. 1, 4-8, April/May 2001.
  • Rotmans, J. and van Asselt, M.B.A. (2001), ‘Uncertainty and Integrated Assessment Modeling: a Labyrinthic Path’, Integrated Assessment Vol. 2, no. 2, 43-57.
  • Rotmans, J., R. Kemp and M.B,A, van Asselt (2001), 'Transition Management: a Promising Perspective’, Chapter in Decker, M. (Ed.), Interdisciplinarity in Technology Assessment: Implementation and its Chances and Limits, 165-197, Springer-Verlag, Berlin.
  • Rotmans, J. (2002), ‘Scaling in Integrated Assessment: Problem or Challenge?’, Integrated Assessment vol. 3, no. 2-3, 266-279.
  • Van Asselt, M.B.A. and Rotmans, J. (2002), ‘Uncertainty in Integrated Assessment Modeling: from Positivism to Pluralism’, Climatic Change 54, no. 1-2, 75-105.
  • Bouwmans, R., Costanza, R., Farley, J., Wilson, M., Portela, R., Villa, F., Rotmans, J. and Grasso, M. (2002), ‘Modeling the Dynamics of the Integrated Earth System and the Value of Global Ecosystem Services using the GUMBO model’, Ecological Economics 41, 529-560.
  • Rotmans, J., van Asselt, M.B.A. and van Notten, P. (2002), ‘VISIONS scenarios on the future of Europe’, in: Ringland, G., Scenarios in Public Policy, Wiley & Sons, UK.
  • Rotmans, J. (2003), ‘Scaling in Integrated Assessment: Problem or Challenge?’, in Rotmans, J. and Rothman, D.S., Scaling in Integrated Assessment, 328-254, Swets & Zeitlinger Publishers, Lisse, The Netherlands.
  • Martens, W.J.M., Rotmans, J. and de Groot, D. (2003), ‘Biodiversity: luxury or necessity?, Global Environmental Change 13, 75-81.
  • Walker, W.E., Harremoes, P., Rotmans, J., van der Sluijs, J.P., van Asselt, M.B.A., Janssen, P and Krayer van Krauss, M.P. (2003), ‘Defining Uncertainty: a conceptual basis for uncertainty management in model-based decision support’, Integrated Assessment 4, no. 1, 5-17.
  • Van Notten, P., Rotmans, J., van Asselt, M.B.A. and Rothman, D. (2003), ‘An updated scenario typology’, Futures 35, no. 5, 423-445, June 2003.
  • Van Asselt, M.B.A. and Rotmans, J. (2003), ‘From projects to program in Integrated Assessment research’, in Public Participation in Sustainability Science, Kasemir, B., Jäger, J., Jaeger, C.C. and Gardner, M.T. (eds.), Cambridge University Press, U.K.
  • Brugge, R. v/d, Rotmans, J., and Loorbach, D. (2005), ‘The wandering ways of water: the transition in Dutch water management’, Regional Environmental Change.
  • Kemp, R. and Rotmans, J. (2004), ‘Managing the Transition to Sustainable Mobility’, in: Elzen, B., Geels, F. and Green, K. (eds.) (2004), System Innovation and the Transition to Sustainability: Theory, Evidence and Policy, Edward Elgar Publishers, Camberley, UK.
  • Kemp, R. and Rotmans, J. (2004), ‘The Management of Co-evolution of Technical, Environmental and Social Systems’, in Weber, M. and Hemmelskamp, J. (2004), Towards Environmental System Innovations, Springer-Verlag, Germany.
  • Grosskurth, J. and Rotmans, J. (2004), ‘The SCENE Model: getting a grip on sustainable development in policy making’, Environment, Development and Sustainability, vol. 7, no. 1, 133-149.
  • Loorbach, D. and Rotmans, J. (2003), ‘Managing the transition to sustainable development’, Chapter 5 in IHDP-book Disciplinary viewpoints on Transformation Science.
  • Valkering, P., Krywkow, J., Rotmans, J. and Van der Veen, A. (2005) Simulating stakeholder support in a negotiation process: An application to river management. Simulation: Transactions of The Society for Modeling and Simulation International, in press.
  • Brugge, R. v/d, Rotmans, J., and Loorbach, D. (2005), ‘The wandering ways of water: the transition in Dutch water management’, Regional Environmental Change, Vol. 5, no. 2, 113-135.