- Promotor
- Promotor
- Date
- Thursday 30 Mar 2023, 13:00 - 14:30
- Type
- PhD defence
- Space
- Senate Hall
- Building
- Erasmus Building
- Location
- Campus Woudestein
Candidate defends his thesis on Thursday 30 March 2023. entiteld: Guess What I Think: Essays on the wisdom in meta-predictions
Summary:This dissertation develops novel methods to elicit and aggregate subjective information. The methods use people's estimates on other people's judgments (“meta-predictions”). Measurement of beliefs helps us understand the true motives of people. Researchers and policy makers can benefit from this knowledge. Effective aggregation of judgments uses the “Wisdom of Crowds” in decision making. Incentives based on meta-predictions motivate people to be honest in surveys. Information in meta-predictions allows more accurate forecast aggregation algorithms. Social scientists and policy makers use subjective data in decision making. This dissertation presents a new method to improve the quality of subjective data. It also motivates future work on using subjective judgments in decision making.
- More information
The public defence will start exactly at 13.00hrs. The doors will be closed once the public defence starts, latecomers can access the hall via the fourth floor. Given the solemn nature of the event, we advise that children under the age of 6 not be brought to the first part of the ceremony.
A livestream link has been provided to candidate.