Machine Learning and Econometric Methods for Global Equity Return Predictability

Hands with stylus on tablet showing candlestick stock chart in dark trading setup
Smiling man with dark hair wearing white shirt against brown gradient background

PhD Candidate: Ali Moin
Start: Fall 2024

My research lies at the intersection of empirical asset pricing, econometrics, and machine learning. I study how financial markets respond to information, how return predictability varies across countries and sectors, and how modern statistical methods can help uncover economically meaningful patterns in increasingly high-dimensional financial data.

Campus Woudestein, showcasing the flags of the School's and Institutes.
Alexander Santos Lima

A recurring question in my work is how to balance global commonality with local heterogeneity. Financial markets are internationally connected, but they are not identical: news, institutions, industries, and accounting structures differ across settings. This means that models of expected returns should neither pool everything together nor treat every market as fully separate. In my research, I develop and apply methods that allow for both shared structure and meaningful local variation.

By combining advances in econometrics and machine learning with substantive questions in finance, I hope to contribute to a better understanding of expected returns in global equity markets.

Selected projects from the Econometric Institute

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