Estimation of the realized high-order moments

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Ostap Okhrin (TU Dresden)

In standard return modelling approaches, returns are often assumed to follow a normal distribution.

 

Date
Thursday 29 Nov 2018, 16:00 - 17:00
Type
Seminar
Spoken Language
English
Room
H10-31
Building
Tinbergen Building
Location
Campus Woudestein
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This assumption implies a zero skewness as well as a zero excess kurtosis. Both of these implications do not correspond to empirical observation and eventually lead to problems e.g. in financial risk management. On the other side, the typical non-parametric estimation of these values require a huge amount of data to be reliable. For this reason, it is advisable to exploit the availability of high frequency data and construct estimators in the fashion of the well-known realized variance. A previous estimation approach is extended to non-martingale price processes. On the basis of Monte Carlo simulations, we show that our estimators are unbiased and consistent when the underlying price process can be modelled as a stochastic volatility jump diffusion process. Distribution properties of the estimators are discussed.

Joint work with: Manuel Schmid (TU Dresden) and Michael Rockinger (University Lausanne)

  • Ostap Okhrin is a professor of Statistics and Econometrics in the Department of Transportation, specialising in financial econometrics and statistics. His recent interest includes time series modelling, high-dimensional models, copula, etc. He also works on a variety of applied projects, such as agricultural-related finance, climate change, CDS pricing. His works has been published on top journals, such as Journal of Econometrics, Econometric Theory, Journal of Empirical Finance, etc.

More information

Coordinator: Andreas Alfons, alfons@ese.eur.nl and Wendun Wang, wang@ese.eur.nl

Contact: Anneke Kop, eb-secr@ese.eur.nl

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