The Fatal Consequences of Brain Drain

Research on Monday

We examine the welfare consequences of reallocating high-skilled labor across borders. A labor demand shock in Norway—driven by a surge in oil prices— substantially increased physician wages and sharply raised the incentive for Swedish doctors to commute across the border.

Speaker
Alexander Willén
Date
Monday 26 May 2025, 11:30 - 12:30
Type
Seminar
Room
2-09
Building
Polak Building
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Leveraging linked administrative data and a difference-in-differences design, we show that this shift doubled commuting rates and significantly reduced Sweden’s domestic physician supply. The result was a persistent rise in mortality, with no corresponding health gains in Norway. 

These effects were unevenly distributed, disproportionately harming certain places and populations. The underlying mechanism was a severe strain on Sweden’s healthcare system: shortages of high-skilled generalists led to more hospitalizations, premature discharges, and higher readmission rates. Mortality effects were larger in low-density physician regions and concentrated in older individuals and acute conditions.

Registration for bilateral, lunch or dinner

Lnch will be provided. If you would like to meet the guest speaker for a bilateral, join for lunch or dinner, then please register by filling in the registration form.

See also

From Tweets to Ballots: Refugee Inflows and Natives' Reactions

Olivier Marie (Erasmus School of Economics)
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