How to Bet on Winners and Losers

EI Seminar
Image - Stocks

We study the construction of long-short portfolios on the basis of cross-sectional return predictions. We derive an optimal portfolio construction procedure that takes the form of a return classification rule.

Speaker
Andre Souza
Date
Thursday 24 Apr 2025, 12:00 - 13:00
Type
Seminar
Room
ET-14
Location
Campus Woudestein
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Selecting stocks on the basis of expected return predictions, the standard practice in the literature, is also optimal in special cases of the general framework.

An empirical application to US stocks highlights that the portfolios constructed using the proposed procedure outperform portfolios constructed using the standard tools in the literature, and the outperformance persists when transaction costs are duly accounted for.

See also

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Workshop on Vehicle Routing Advances and Applications 2026

Estimation of large approximate dynamic matrix factor models based on the EM algorithm and Kalman filtering

Matteo Barigozzi (Università di Bologna)

Testing for endogeneity of irregular sampling schemes

Giulia Livieri (LSE)
More information

Do you want to know more about the event? Contact the secretariat Econometrics at eb-secr@ese.eur.nl.

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