Uneven buffering of U.S. maize yields against extreme heat - a time-varying coefficient panel approach

EI Seminar
View of a cornfield

U.S. maize production supplies one-third of the global harvest and faces escalating risks from extreme weather. Despite decades of technological advances intended to enhance climate resilience, how large-scale yield sensitivity to temperature and rainfall has evolved remains poorly understood.

Speaker
Marina Friedrich
Date
Thursday 11 Jun 2026, 12:00 - 13:00
Type
Seminar
Room
ET-14
Location
Campus Woudestein
Add to calendar

Joint work with Rick Geling, Raed Hamed and Corey Lesk

We track changing responses of county-level maize yields to temperature and precipitation across the U.S. Corn Belt from 1951 to 2024 using a time-varying coefficient panel regression model. Overall, we find that the combined effects of technological progress, management changes, irrigation expansion, and policy measures have delivered only partial and geographically uneven protection against rising heat, leaving constant or growing vulnerabilities in key producing regions. 

These findings underscore the need for regionally targeted strategies to safeguard maize productivity as heat extremes intensify.

See also

Identifying Multi-Hit Cancer Drivers Without Massive Parallelisation: A CP, MIP, and Column Generation Framework

Rick Willemsen (Singapore University of Technology and Design)
Set of small pills on green surface

Bayesian Double Machine Learning for Causal Inference

Laura Liu (University of Pittsburgh)
Image of campus Woudestein

FinEML Conference 2026

Financial Econometrics Meets Machine Learning
Image - University of Geneva

Heuristics and Anchored Inflation: How do Different Types of Consumers Change Their Minds about Inflation?

Kevin Lee (University of Nottingham)
Inside view of the Polak building.

Outrigger local polynomial regression

Richard Samworth (Cambridge)
Campus Woudestein met het oog op het fontein
More information

Do you want to know more about the event? Contact the secretariat Econometrics at eb-secr@ese.eur.nl.

Compare @count study programme

  • @title

    • Duration: @duration
Compare study programmes